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Pound to Yen Forecast (Predictions for GBP to JPY) - November 2025

Find out what's affecting the GBP/JPY currency pair this week.

Understand how the Japanese economy is faring and how it might affect your yen plans in the coming days and weeks.

Luke Eales
Author 
Luke Eales
Last updated on November 5th, 2025
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Pound to Yen Forecast (Predictions for GBP to JPY) - November 2025

If you’re sending money between the UK and Japan, here’s a straightforward look at how the British pound (GBP) and the Japanese yen (JPY) are moving, and what it could mean for your transfers in November 2025.

GBP to JPY: Where It Stands

The British Pound (GBP) and Japanese Yen (JPY) have both been influenced by changing economic policies and political shifts.

Right now, GBP/JPY is trading close to the ¥202 level, after losing momentum from a recent high near ¥205.

It's in “wait and see” mode, meaning prices might move based on upcoming news from Japan and the UK.

What’s Driving GBP to JPY?

Major currency movements are being influenced by interest rate expectations and government decisions in both countries. Here's the simple breakdown:

  • The UK has high interest rates to fight inflation. This boosts the Pound, because investors earn more by holding GBP.

  • In Japan, ultra-low rates continue, but investors are starting to think that could change. A shift in Japan’s leadership has caused speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might tighten policy sooner than expected.

  • While this has strengthened the Yen slightly in recent days, high inflation and weaker economic conditions in Japan are still holding back big moves.

  • On the UK side, planned tax hikes and weak GDP growth are making traders nervous about the Pound's future strength.

So, while GBP has recently been strong, uncertainties in both countries are leveling the playing field.

What Do the Charts Say?

Charts show that GBP/JPY has been bouncing between key levels:

  • Strong support is around ¥200 and ¥198. This means when the rate hits this zone, buyers tend to step back in and push it higher.

  • On the upside, resistance is around ¥204 and especially ¥205. That’s where recent rallies have stalled.

  • If the price breaks under ¥198, it could be a sign of a deeper fall, with next support around ¥196.

In trading terms, it’s a consolidation pattern, like a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with strong interest on both sides.

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What to Watch in November 2025

Several upcoming events could cause the currency rate to move:

Bank of Japan Meeting: If Japanese officials hint at raising interest rates, the Yen may strengthen.

UK Autumn Budget (late November): If it shows aggressive tax policies or cuts in spending, the Pound might weaken.

Speeches by Bank of England Governor: Watch for any signs of changes in interest rate policy. Even words can move currencies.

Investors will also watch global sentiment, if world markets get nervous, the Yen could rise (it’s seen as a safe-haven currency).

Risks Ahead

There are several risks that could shake GBP/JPY over the next month:

  • Unexpected BoJ tightening could strengthen the Yen rapidly.

  • UK political or economic surprises (like negative GDP data or tax hikes) could hurt the Pound.

  • If global markets become volatile, investors may rush to the Yen for safety, pushing GBP/JPY lower.

  • A sharp move below ¥198 would suggest the trend is turning down, which could accelerate falls.

What This Means If You’re Sending GBP to JPY Abroad

If you need to exchange Pounds for Yen (e.g. sending money to Japan), here’s what this all means in plain English:

  • Right now, rates are favorable. Pound has been strong, so you’re getting more Yen per Pound compared to earlier this year.

  • But this advantage may not last. If Japanese policy changes or UK economic news brings the Pound down, it could weaken the exchange rate.

  • The next few weeks are uncertain, so if you’re planning to send money soon, you might want to act before more market changes reduce your buying power.

In short

GBP/JPY is trading in a narrow range. Support at ¥200 and resistance around ¥204–¥205 are the levels to watch. Rising risk in both the UK and Japan means prices could swing either way. If you're sending GBP to JPY, the current rate is decent. But with upcoming political and economic news, acting sooner may help lock in a better deal.

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Contributors

Luke Eales
Luke is the founder of SendAbroad and is based in London, UK. His aim with SendAbroad is to help Brits be smart with their international money moves.