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Pound to New Zealand Dollar Forecast (Predictions for GBP to NZD) - October 2025

Find out what's affecting the GBP/NZD currency pair this week.

Understand how the New Zealand economy is faring and how it might affect your NZD plans in the coming days and weeks.

Luke Eales
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Luke Eales
Last updated on September 30th, 2025
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Pound to New Zealand Dollar Forecast (Predictions for GBP to NZD) - October 2025

If you’re transferring money between the UK and New Zealand, here’s a quick look at what’s happening with the British pound (GBP) and the New Zealand dollar (NZD), and what it might mean for your money in October 2025.

GBP to NZD: Where It Stands

Let’s start by looking at where the British Pound (GBP) stands against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).

Right now, GBP/NZD is trading around 2.32, which is near its highest level in several months.

This means 1 British Pound buys about 2.32 New Zealand Dollars.

This strong position is mainly because the NZD has been weakening due to poor economic data in New Zealand, not necessarily because the Pound is very strong.

What’s Driving GBP to NZD?

Understanding what’s moving the exchange rate helps us make smarter decisions.

Several major factors are currently driving the GBP/NZD exchange rate:

Weak New Zealand Economy

New Zealand’s economy shrank more than expected in the last quarter (down 0.9%).

This is a sign of trouble and raises the chance that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will lower interest rates soon, which makes the NZD weaker.

UK Economic Data Mixed

The UK economy isn’t booming, but it’s holding up better than New Zealand’s.

Recent data on retail sales and services (like restaurants, health care, and banking) is better, but still not strong enough to boost the Pound significantly.

Central Banks Watch

The Bank of England (BoE) is being cautious and may not raise interest rates again soon.

Meanwhile, the RBNZ is expected to lower rates sooner, making NZD less attractive and fueling the GBP/NZD rise.

What Do the Charts Say?

Let’s break down the "technical" side, what the charts are showing.

Technically, GBP/NZD is in an uptrend, meaning it has been climbing upward for several months.

It recently hit 2.3253, a level not seen since April.

  • Short-term support (a possible price floor) is around 2.2781. This is where the pair may stop falling if there is a pullback.

  • Resistance (a ceiling price) sits near 2.3325 and 2.3342. These are the next hurdles for the Pound to jump.

Some indicators say the currency pair is “overbought,” which means a short-term dip could happen.

But overall, the trend shows potential for further gains if New Zealand’s outlook doesn’t improve.

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What to Watch in October 2025

Here’s what might impact the Pound-to-Kiwi Dollar rate over the coming weeks.

  • UK Retail Sales and Services Data: If these beat forecasts, the Pound could strengthen.

  • New Zealand Economic Reports: More weak reports could push NZD even lower.

  • Moves by Central Banks: Any surprise interest rate cut by the RBNZ or shift in BoE tone could shake things up.

  • Global Sentiment: If investors feel positive about world markets, the NZD could benefit slightly, since it’s tied to global risk sentiment.

Risks Ahead

Some things that could cause unexpected currency moves.

  • New Zealand’s economy may surprise with better-than-expected data, lifting NZD.

  • UK political developments (like new spending promises) could shake confidence in the GBP.

  • Global shocks, like a drop in tech markets or oil prices, could influence risk-sensitive currencies like NZD.

  • A shift in USD (US Dollar) strength might indirectly affect GBP/NZD.

What This Means If You’re Sending GBP to NZD Abroad

Here’s what this means in plain English if you’re moving money from the UK to New Zealand.

The current exchange rate is quite favorable for people sending British Pounds to New Zealand.

You’re getting more NZD for every Pound compared to earlier this year.

But, because the currency pair might pull back slightly (due to technical reasons and overbought signals), it could dip toward 2.28 before rising again.

If you can afford to wait, consider watching for a small drop before converting, or move part of your money now and the rest later to reduce risk.

If the NZD continues to weaken, the rate could climb near 2.33 or higher, giving even better value.

In short

Here’s the takeaway in simple terms.

  • GBP/NZD is strong mainly because New Zealand’s economy is struggling.

  • In the next month, the exchange rate may slightly dip but the bigger trend still supports sending money while rates are high.

  • Watch UK and NZ economic updates and central bank comments closely.

  • If you’re sending money from the UK to New Zealand, now is a good time, but consider small dips before locking in.

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Contributors

Luke Eales
Luke is the founder of SendAbroad and is based in London, UK. His aim with SendAbroad is to help Brits be smart with their international money moves.