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Pound to Dirham Forecast (Predictions for GBP to AED) - October 2025

Find out what's affecting the GBP/AED currency pair this week.

Understand how the UAE economy is faring and how it might affect your dirham plans in the coming days and weeks.

Luke Eales
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Luke Eales
Last updated on September 30th, 2025
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Pound to Dirham Forecast (Predictions for GBP to AED) - October 2025

If you’re planning to send money from the UK to the UAE or back the other way, here’s a simple breakdown of what’s happening with the British pound (GBP) and the Emirati dirham (AED), and what to expect in October 2025.

GBP to AED: Where It Stands

The British Pound (GBP) has strengthened significantly against the UAE Dirham (AED) in 2025, with the dirham dropping about 8% since the start of the year.

As of now, 1 GBP gives you more AED compared to earlier in the year, which is good news if you're exchanging pounds into dirhams.

What’s Driving GBP to AED?

Several key global factors are pushing the GBP higher and the AED lower. The main reason for the weaker dirham is its fixed link (or peg) to the US dollar.

The US dollar has been under pressure in 2025 due to protectionist tariffs introduced by the Trump administration, which are slowing American trade and weakening investor confidence in the dollar.

Since the AED follows the dollar closely, it also drops when the dollar does.

On the flip side, the British economy has shown resilience, and the pound remains one of the strongest global currencies.

Political stability, strong demand for UK property, and global investors seeking safe assets continue to support the pound.

Meanwhile, more British money is flowing into Dubai real estate due to favorable exchange rates, which further increases demand for pounds and supports its strength.

What Do the Charts Say?

From a chart (technical) perspective, GBP to AED has shown a solid upward trend in 2025. Analysts see short-term support (a level where prices tend to bounce up) around 4.55 AED, and resistance (a ceiling level where upward movement slows down) around 4.70 AED per pound.

If GBP stays above the 4.55 mark, it’s likely to stay strong or continue upwards.

Some analysts suggest we could see it test 4.75 if global conditions remain stable.

This means that for each pound, you're likely to get more dirhams than usual.

This situation benefits people converting GBP to AED soon.

Sending money between the UK and UAE?

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What to Watch in October 2025

Keep an eye on US and UK central bank decisions, especially any hints that interest rates will change.

If the Bank of England keeps rates higher while the US Federal Reserve (and therefore by extension, the AED) doesn’t raise rates, the pound is likely to stay strong.

Also, watch Dubai real estate demand, if more UK buyers enter the market, more pounds will be exchanged for dirhams, potentially creating short-term dips in GBP/AED but supporting overall strength for GBP.

Risks Ahead

The big risk: a sudden change in US policy or a strengthening dollar.

If the US economy shows signs of improvement and the dollar rises, the dirham could follow suit, which may lower GBP to AED rates.

Also, if warnings of a price correction in Dubai property come true and British investors pull back, GBP demand could dip slightly, which might soften the exchange rate.

What This Means If You’re Sending GBP to AED Abroad

In simple terms, it’s a good time to send money from the UK to the UAE.

The pound has strong buying power, giving you more dirhams for each pound than earlier in the year.

If you're planning to buy property, pay school fees, or support a family in the UAE, you’ll like the current exchange rate conditions.

It may even be a good idea to lock in your rate if your payment is coming up soon.

In short

The pound is strong, and the dirham is relatively weak, mostly due to global economic factors and currency trends.

GBP to AED is likely to stay favorable in the next month, especially if conditions remain unchanged.

If you’re sending GBP to AED in October 2025, you might want to take advantage of this favorable rate while it lasts.

Keep an eye on news from the Bank of England and the U.S., but for now, it’s a strong time to send your money.

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Contributors

Luke Eales
Luke is the founder of SendAbroad and is based in London, UK. His aim with SendAbroad is to help Brits be smart with their international money moves.