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Pound to Dirham Forecast (Predictions for GBP to AED) - December 2025

Find out what's affecting the GBP/AED currency pair this week.

Understand how the UAE economy is faring and how it might affect your dirham plans in the coming days and weeks.

Luke Eales
Author 
Luke Eales
Last updated on December 9th, 2025
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Pound to Dirham Forecast (Predictions for GBP to AED) - December 2025

If you’re planning to send money from the UK to the UAE or back the other way, here’s a simple breakdown of what’s happening with the British pound (GBP) and the Emirati dirham (AED), and what to expect in December 2025.

GBP to AED: Where It Stands

A quick look at the current picture.

The British pound has been relatively steady against the UAE dirham, which is closely tied to the US dollar.

Over the past few months the pound has been supported by expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates more slowly than other major central banks.

This generally helps the pound hold its value. For now, GBP to AED sits in a stable range with only mild day to day movement.

What’s Driving GBP to AED?

The UAE dirham is pegged to the US dollar. This means that what happens to the dollar mainly determines what happens to AED.

The dollar has been strong globally, supported by steady US growth and higher interest rate levels. As a result, the AED stays firm too.

The pound, on the other hand, is being supported because markets expect fewer and slower rate cuts from the Bank of England compared to the US or EU. A currency with relatively higher interest rates usually attracts more demand.

So the GBP to AED rate is pulled in two directions: pound support from UK policy, and AED strength from the US dollar.

What Do the Charts Say?

GBP to AED has been trading in a relatively tight area.

Key levels to watch:

  • Support around 4.50. If the rate drops toward this area, buyers may step in.

  • Resistance around 4.65. This is where previous rallies have slowed down.

The pair looks range bound, meaning it moves between these two levels without a clear breakout yet.

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What to Watch in December 2025

Important things that could shift the rate.

  • UK inflation data. If prices cool faster than expected, markets may expect quicker Bank of England cuts, weakening the pound.

  • US economic indicators. Strong US data usually lifts the dollar and therefore the AED.

  • Central bank comments. Any signals from the Bank of England suggesting faster or slower cuts can move GBP to AED.

Risks Ahead

What could change the outlook.

  • Faster than expected US interest rate cuts could weaken the dollar and the AED, pushing GBP to AED higher.

  • A sharp downturn in the UK economy could hurt the pound.

  • Unexpected geopolitical events often drive investors to the US dollar, strengthening AED and putting pressure on the pound.

What This Means If You Are Sending GBP to AED Abroad

Expect relatively stable rates in the short term. If the pound stays supported, you might see slightly better rates for sending money to the UAE.

However the strong dollar means large jumps higher are unlikely without major news. If you need to send money soon, you are unlikely to see dramatic changes from current levels.

If you have flexibility, watching the 4.60 to 4.65 area could offer a slightly better deal.

In short

GBP to AED is steady. The pound has support from UK rate expectations, while the AED stays strong through the US dollar. The next month is likely to stay within the 4.50 to 4.65 range unless big economic surprises hit. For senders, expect stable conditions with only small swings.

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Contributors

Luke Eales
Luke is the founder of SendAbroad and is based in London, UK. His aim with SendAbroad is to help Brits be smart with their international money moves.