If you’re planning to send Australian dollars (AUD) abroad in December 2025, here’s a simple guide to what’s happening with the exchange rate, and what it might mean for your money.
GBP to AUD: Where It Stands
GBP to AUD is sitting close to the key 2.00 level after several weeks of steady falls. The Australian dollar has been strong, while the pound has been weighed down by softer UK data and rising expectations of Bank of England rate cuts. Overall momentum still points slightly lower for the pair.
What’s Driving GBP to AUD?
There are three main drivers right now.
Australia’s economy looks stronger. Recent Australian jobs data was much better than expected. This has made markets think the Reserve Bank of Australia may keep interest rates high or even consider tightening, which supports the AUD.
The UK picture is softer. UK growth and inflation data have disappointed, increasing expectations of an earlier Bank of England rate cut. Lower interest rate expectations tend to weaken a currency.
Global mood supports the AUD. Improved risk appetite, progress toward ending the US government shutdown, and easing trade tensions have boosted demand for currencies like the Australian dollar.
What Do the Charts Say?
GBP to AUD remains in a downtrend. Rallies have repeatedly been capped by the 21 day moving average, suggesting sellers are still in control. The key support level is 2.00. If the pair breaks below this, technical targets suggest moves toward 1.98 and even 1.96. Resistance is around 2.02 to 2.03. As long as the pair stays below this zone, the trend still leans lower.
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What to Watch in December 2025
Important factors for the near term.
UK data: Jobs, wages, and inflation figures. Weak numbers would likely push GBP lower.
Australian labour and inflation updates. Continued strength would support AUD.
Global risk sentiment. If markets stay calm or optimistic, AUD usually benefits.
Central bank expectations. Any hint of BoE cuts or RBA staying firm affects the direction.
Risks Ahead
Key scenarios that could shake things up.
If UK inflation or growth surprises to the upside, the pound could hold up better than expected.
If China’s economy weakens or global markets wobble, the AUD could cool off quickly.
If markets realise they have overpriced potential RBA tightening, the AUD may give back some gains.
Political headlines in the UK could cause swings in the pound.
What This Means If You’re Sending GBP to AUD Abroad
Right now, the trend suggests the pound may weaken further against the Australian dollar. That means your pounds could buy fewer Australian dollars if you wait. A break below 2.00 would make transfers more expensive for anyone sending GBP to Australia. If you need to send money soon, securing a rate earlier or watching for short lived bounces may help. If you are sending AUD to the UK, the current environment is favourable and may improve further.
In short
GBP to AUD is leaning lower for the next month, with pressure coming from stronger Australian data and weaker UK expectations. A move below 2.00 is possible unless global risk sentiment shifts sharply.
