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Pound to Hong Kong Dollar Forecast (Predictions for GBP to HKD) - November 2025

Find out what's affecting the GBP/HKD currency pair this week.

Understand how the Hong Kong economy is faring and how it might affect your HKD plans in the coming days and weeks.

Luke Eales
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Luke Eales
Last updated on November 5th, 2025
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Pound to Hong Kong Dollar Forecast (Predictions for GBP to HKD) - November 2025

If you’re planning to send money between the UK and Hong Kong next month, here’s a straightforward breakdown of what’s happening with the British pound (GBP) and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD), and what you should know for November 2025.

GBP to HKD: Where It Stands

A quick snapshot of how the British Pound is performing against the Hong Kong Dollar.

Right now, the British Pound (GBP) is weak compared to the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD). The Pound recently hit a seven-month low.

This is mainly because the UK government is hinting at tax increases to balance its books, which has made investors nervous about the UK’s economy.

On the other hand, the Hong Kong Dollar remains stable, with local businesses and banks like HSBC doing well amid strong tourism and retail activity in Hong Kong.

What’s Driving GBP to HKD?

Why the exchange rate between the Pound and the Hong Kong Dollar is moving.

The biggest factor pushing the Pound down is uncertainty in the UK’s economy.

The new UK finance chief, Rachel Reeves, said taxes might go up soon to manage government debt.

This suggestion hurt confidence in the British economy, and investors pulled back, weakening the value of the Pound.

Meanwhile, the Bank of England is cautious about future interest rates.

They are not likely to raise them again soon, which also puts pressure on the Pound.

In contrast, Hong Kong has had strong economic signals. Local companies like HSBC are buying back shares, which is usually a sign of financial health.

In addition, Hong Kong is seeing a boost in tourism and retail due to upcoming concerts and public events, supporting the economy and the strength of the HK Dollar.

What Do the Charts Say?

Looking at technical points that traders follow.

From a chart point of view, GBP/HKD recently dropped to the key support area around 9.60.

This is a level where it has bounced in the past. If it falls below this, the next key support is around 9.50.

If the Pound gains strength again, the first resistance to watch is 9.75, followed by 9.85.

Resistance means levels where it may struggle to go higher.

For now, most signs are pointing to a weak-to-sideways trend in GBP versus HKD for the next few weeks.

What to Watch in November 2025

Important things that could change the currency direction.

  • The UK government’s full budget announcement at the end of November. If taxes go up more than expected, the Pound may weaken further.

  • Economic data from the UK, such as inflation, jobs, or retail sales, could reveal more about economic health and influence exchange rates.

  • Political tension or public reaction to possible tax changes in the UK might also impact market confidence.

  • Continued share buybacks in Hong Kong and strong company results could keep the HKD steady.

Risks Ahead

Things that could unexpectedly shake up the exchange rate.

  • If UK inflation rises but wages don’t keep up, it may trigger more economic tensions, hurting the Pound.

  • Any global market turbulence or surprises, like sudden changes in interest rates, could affect both currencies.

  • If Hong Kong faces setbacks in real estate or retail sectors, it might weigh on the HKD slightly, though the impact would likely be limited.

What This Means If You’re Sending GBP to HKD Abroad

How the forecast impacts real people moving money from UK to Hong Kong.

If you're planning to send money from the UK to Hong Kong, now may not be the best time.

The Pound is unusually weak, and your money won’t go as far in Hong Kong Dollars.

For example, last month if you sent £1,000, you might have gotten HKD 9,800. Now it’s closer to HKD 9,600.

That’s a difference of HKD 200, just because of the exchange rate.

Unless you have to transfer funds urgently, it may be smart to wait and see if the Pound recovers a bit after the UK budget announcement.

If you must send money soon, consider using services with low fees and better exchange rates like Revolut or Wise to save more.

In short

A quick wrap-up of what to expect with GBP to HKD in the coming month.

  • The British Pound is weak due to fears of tax hikes and economic slowdown in the UK.

  • The Hong Kong Dollar remains stable, backed by retail and banking strength.

  • GBP/HKD may stay in the 9.50 to 9.75 range over the next few weeks.

  • Big UK announcements and market sentiment will drive any changes.

  • If you're sending money to Hong Kong, rates aren’t favorable right now, consider waiting or using cost-effective transfer platforms.

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Contributors

Luke Eales
Luke is the founder of SendAbroad and is based in London, UK. His aim with SendAbroad is to help Brits be smart with their international money moves.